New urbanization, upgrading of industrial structure and China's economic growth——Empirical research based on spatial spillover and threshold effect
XU Qiuyan1, FANG Shengfei1, MA Linlin2
1. Institute of Economics and Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832000, China; 2. School of Statistics and Information, Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics, Urumqi 830012, China
Abstract：Based on the related data of 30 provincial units in our country, using the entropy value method and Moore structure change, respectively was carried out on the new high-level urbanization level and industry structure level measure, by calculating the global Moran's I index, analyzed the existence space depend on the characteristics of China's economic growth, on this basis, the introduction of control variables, establish spatial panel econometric model, spatial effect decomposition model and panel threshold model, empirical analysis on the economic growth effect of new urbanization and industrial structure upgrade, research shows that:the new urbanization through the use of its "agglomeration effect", optimize the industrial structure, improve the social productivity, effectively promote China's economic growth; China's industrial structure is in a period of adjustment, and the industrial structure upgrade has caused a "structural slowdown" phenomenon in China's economic development, but its economic growth effect is still significant. "Production city synergy" significantly promoted China's economic growth, from city linkage for alleviating China's economic growth is slowing in "structural slowdown" and "triple pressure" and the problem has important practical significance; The economic growth effect of new-type urbanization and industrial structure upgrade has the "threshold effect" because of the period of sex mismatch in the production of city relations.
徐秋艳, 房胜飞, 马琳琳. 新型城镇化、产业结构升级与中国经济增长——基于空间溢出及门槛效应的实证研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2019, 39(6): 1407-1418.
XU Qiuyan, FANG Shengfei, MA Linlin. New urbanization, upgrading of industrial structure and China's economic growth——Empirical research based on spatial spillover and threshold effect. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2019, 39(6): 1407-1418.
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2019, Vol. 39 
